Core System Architecture Part 107 — Anonymous Network Change Impact Analysis, Dependency-Aware Rollout Planning, Pre-Change Simulation, Safe Execution & Privacy-Preserving Operational Decision Architecture

SIAR — Secure, Local-First, Multi-Transport Communication Platform

Series: Core System Architecture
Part: 107
Status: Architecture specification
Primary language: Rust
Builds on: Core System Architecture Parts 52, 61–65, 70–79, 94–106

Primary purpose: define SIAR's change-impact and safe-execution architecture for change intent, dependency-aware impact analysis, blast-radius evaluation, pre-change simulation, rollout planning, canaries, safety gates, abort/rollback, change evidence, tenant/region/federation boundaries, and privacy-preserving operational decision-making.


1. Purpose

A production change is not merely:

apply configuration
deploy artifact
restart service

A safe change process must answer:

What is changing?
What depends on it?
Which regions/tenants/services could be affected?
What assumptions must hold?
How do we test the change before broad rollout?
What evidence allows promotion?
What conditions trigger abort?
Can rollback actually work?

The governing principle is:

SIAR changes should be evaluated against topology, policy, security, privacy, capacity, recovery, and compatibility before execution, and promoted only through explicit evidence-backed safety gates.


2. Architectural Position

                    CHANGE INTENT
                         │
                         ▼
                  CHANGE NORMALIZER
                         │
                         ▼
                    IMPACT ANALYSIS
                         │
             ┌───────────┼───────────┐
             │           │           │
         TOPOLOGY     SECURITY     COMPATIBILITY
             │           │           │
             └───────────┼───────────┘
                         ▼
                 PRE-CHANGE SIMULATION
                         │
                         ▼
                   ROLLOUT PLAN
                         │
                         ▼
                   SAFETY GATES
                         │
             ┌───────────┼───────────┐
             │           │           │
           CANARY      EXPAND      ABORT
                         │
                         ▼
                    VERIFICATION
                         │
                         ▼
                      COMPLETE

3. Core Separation

Keep distinct:

change intent
impact analysis
simulation
approval
rollout plan
execution
verification
rollback
post-change review

4. Non-Goals

Part 107 does not create:

a universal remote shell
change approval from user engagement metrics
per-user canary targeting
production experimentation without safety gates
automatic mutation of unrelated systems

5. Change Intent

Every change begins as structured intent.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeIntent {
    pub change_id: ChangeId,
    pub scope: ChangeScope,
    pub kind: ChangeKind,
    pub target_state: TargetStateRef,
    pub rationale: ChangeRationale,
}
}

6. Change Scope

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeScope {
    Service(ServiceId),
    Asset(AssetId),
    HostClass(HostClass),
    Region(RegionId),
    Tenant(TenantId),
    FederationPeer(FederationDomainId),
    GovernanceDomain(GovernanceDomainId),
}
}

7. No Global User Scope

Hard rule.


8. Change Kind

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeKind {
    DeployArtifact,
    UpdateConfiguration,
    UpdatePolicy,
    DatabaseMigration,
    KeyRotation,
    CertificateRotation,
    CapacityChange,
    NetworkChange,
    RegionalMigration,
    Failover,
    DependencyChange,
    FeatureEnablement,
    ServiceRetirement,
}
}

9. No Generic "RunCommand"

Hard rule.


10. Change Rationale

Typed.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeRationale {
    SecurityPatch,
    VulnerabilityRemediation,
    ReliabilityImprovement,
    CapacityAdjustment,
    CostOptimization,
    PrivacyRequirement,
    ComplianceRequirement,
    FeatureRelease,
    OperationalMaintenance,
    IncidentResponse,
}
}

11. Rationale Does Not Grant Authority

Hard rule.


12. Change Target State

Reference exact desired-state/config/release target.


13. Target State Ref

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum TargetStateRef {
    DesiredState(DesiredStateId),
    Release(ReleaseId),
    Policy(PolicyVersion),
    Migration(MigrationId),
    KeyEpoch(KeyEpoch),
}
}

14. No Ambiguous "Latest"

Hard rule.


15. Change Plan Identity

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangePlanId(pub [u8; 16]);
}

16. Immutable Change Plan

Once approved.


17. New modification creates new plan/version.


18. Hard rule.


19. Change Normalization

Inputs may originate from:

Git
release pipeline
security workflow
DR workflow
operator proposal
automation

20. Normalize into typed change model.


21. No free-form execution source becomes authority.


22. Hard rule.


23. Precondition Model

Every change declares preconditions.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangePreconditions {
    pub required_controls: Vec<ControlId>,
    pub required_capacity: Vec<CapacityRequirement>,
    pub required_dependencies: Vec<DependencyRequirement>,
    pub required_versions: Vec<VersionRequirement>,
}
}

24. Preconditions Must Be Verifiable

Hard rule.


25. Examples

backup fresh
replica healthy
minimum free capacity
compatible client version
no active critical incident

26. Change Preconditions Are Not Assumptions

They are gates.


27. Hard rule.


28. Impact Analysis

Impact analysis asks:

what may break if this change succeeds?
what may break if this change partially succeeds?
what may break if it fails?

29. Impact Dimensions

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ImpactDimension {
    Availability,
    Security,
    Privacy,
    DataIntegrity,
    Compatibility,
    Capacity,
    Cost,
    Residency,
    Recovery,
    Federation,
}
}

30. Impact Result

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeImpact {
    pub dimension: ImpactDimension,
    pub severity: ImpactSeverity,
    pub affected_scopes: Vec<ImpactScopeRef>,
    pub evidence: Vec<ImpactEvidenceRef>,
}
}

31. Impact Severity

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ImpactSeverity {
    Negligible,
    Low,
    Medium,
    High,
    Critical,
}
}

32. Impact Is Not Probability

Hard rule.


33. Probability / Confidence Separate

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ImpactConfidence {
    Low,
    Medium,
    High,
    Verified,
}
}

34. Hard Rule

Do not collapse severity and confidence into one opaque score.


35. Dependency-Aware Impact Analysis

Use Part 106 graph.


36. Query:

dependencies(target)
dependents(target)
critical_paths(target)
blast_radius(target)
regional dependencies(target)
tenant-scoped dependencies(target)

37. Impact Graph

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeImpactGraph {
    pub origin: AssetId,
    pub affected_assets: Vec<AssetId>,
    pub affected_services: Vec<ServiceId>,
    pub critical_paths: Vec<DependencyPath>,
}
}

38. Graph Result Is Bounded

Hard rule.


39. No Full-Fleet Graph Dump By Default

Hard rule.


40. Dependency Criticality

Impact propagation respects:

Optional
Degradable
Required
Critical

41. Hard Rule

A connected edge is not automatically an outage path.


42. Redundancy Awareness

If dependency has:

active-active
active-passive
N-of-M

impact calculation reflects redundancy.


43. Hard rule.


44. Region-Aware Impact

Examples:

one region only
global control plane
tenant-dedicated region

45. No overstatement.


46. Hard rule.


47. Tenant-Aware Impact

If shared service changes:

which tenant scopes could be affected?

48. Do not expose tenant identities to unauthorized planners.


49. Hard rule.


50. Federation-Aware Impact

Change can affect:

peer compatibility
federation trust
routing
cross-domain protocol

51. Remote domain internal topology remains unknown.


52. Hard rule.


53. Impact Unknowns

Unknowns are explicit.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ImpactUnknown {
    pub reason: ImpactUnknownReason,
    pub scope: ChangeScope,
}
}

54. Unknown Reasons

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ImpactUnknownReason {
    StaleInventory,
    MissingDependencyData,
    UnsupportedSimulator,
    ExternalProviderOpaque,
    FederationTopologyUnavailable,
}
}

55. Unknown Does Not Mean Safe

Hard rule.


56. Change Risk

Risk should be explainable.


57. Risk Factors

blast radius
criticality
reversibility
data migration
security impact
privacy impact
dependency confidence
rollout scope

58. Change Risk Class

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeRiskClass {
    Low,
    Moderate,
    High,
    Critical,
}
}

59. No Black-Box ML Risk Score Baseline

Hard rule.


60. Risk Explanation

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeRiskExplanation {
    pub class: ChangeRiskClass,
    pub reasons: Vec<ChangeRiskReason>,
}
}

61. Example Reasons

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeRiskReason {
    LargeBlastRadius,
    IrreversibleMigration,
    SecurityControlChange,
    PrivacyPolicyChange,
    CrossRegionImpact,
    CriticalDependency,
    IncompleteInventory,
    RollbackUnavailable,
}
}

62. Safe.


63. Pre-Change Simulation

Simulation reduces uncertainty.


64. Simulation Types

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum SimulationType {
    StaticValidation,
    DependencySimulation,
    ConfigurationSimulation,
    MigrationDryRun,
    TrafficReplaySynthetic,
    FailoverSimulation,
    PolicyEvaluation,
    CapacitySimulation,
}
}

65. No Production User Traffic Replay

Hard rule.


66. Synthetic Replay

Use generated/sanitized workload models.


67. No raw private traffic capture.


68. Hard rule.


69. Static Validation

Checks:

schema
config invariants
policy compatibility
artifact signatures
version compatibility

70. Hard rule.


71. Dependency Simulation

Simulate:

target unavailable
dependency latency increase
region loss

72. Does not need user data.


73. Hard rule.


74. Configuration Simulation

Evaluate new desired state against:

hard invariants
tenant overlays
region policy
security floor

75. No production mutation.


76. Hard rule.


77. Database Migration Dry Run

Use isolated copy/synthetic schema/data subset where safe.


78. Validate:

schema transition
runtime duration
lock behavior
rollback possibility

79. No uncontrolled copy of private production data.


80. Hard rule.


81. Migration Simulation Data

Preferred:

synthetic
generated
redacted
isolated encrypted snapshot under strict scope

82. Hard rule.


83. Capacity Simulation

Use Part 101 models.


84. Questions:

Can remaining fleet handle canary drain?
Can region survive reduced capacity?
Will rollout exceed queue limits?

85. Good.


86. Failover Simulation

Part 100.


87. Verify target capacity/residency/fencing.


88. Hard rule.


89. Policy Simulation

Part 95/105.


90. Evaluate candidate policy against:

security
privacy
tenant
regional
authorization

91. Hard rule.


92. Simulation Result

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct SimulationResult {
    pub simulation: SimulationType,
    pub state: SimulationState,
    pub findings: Vec<SimulationFinding>,
    pub evidence_digest: Digest,
}
}

93. Simulation State

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum SimulationState {
    Passed,
    Failed,
    Inconclusive,
}
}

94. Inconclusive ≠ Passed

Hard rule.


95. Simulation Evidence

Signed/immutable summary.


96. No mutable dashboard screenshot as sole evidence.


97. Hard rule.


98. Rollout Plan

Change execution must be staged when risk warrants.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct RolloutPlan {
    pub plan_id: ChangePlanId,
    pub phases: Vec<RolloutPhase>,
    pub abort_policy: AbortPolicy,
    pub rollback_policy: ChangeRollbackPolicy,
}
}

99. Rollout Phases

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum RolloutPhaseKind {
    Validation,
    Canary,
    SmallBatch,
    Regional,
    Broad,
    Complete,
}
}

100. Not every change needs all phases.


101. High-risk changes do.


102. Hard rule.


103. Rollout Phase

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct RolloutPhase {
    pub kind: RolloutPhaseKind,
    pub scope: RolloutScope,
    pub entry_gates: Vec<SafetyGate>,
    pub exit_gates: Vec<SafetyGate>,
}
}

104. Rollout Scope

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum RolloutScope {
    AssetSet(Vec<AssetId>),
    ServiceFraction { service: ServiceId, basis_points: u16 },
    Region(RegionId),
    HostClass(HostClass),
}
}

105. No User-Based Rollout Scope

Hard rule.


106. Client Rollout

When client software:

local random bucket
platform
version range

107. No behavioral cohort.


108. Hard rule.


109. Canary Selection

Select by infrastructure partition.


110. Good examples:

one stateless instance
one shard replica
one noncritical region slice

111. Avoid:

VIP users
high-engagement users
political/geographic behavioral group

112. Hard rule.


113. Canary Requirements

Canary must be:

representative enough
small blast radius
observable
reversible where possible

114. Hard rule.


115. Safety Gates

A gate is a typed predicate.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum SafetyGate {
    Health(SloGate),
    Security(ControlGate),
    Privacy(PrivacyGate),
    Capacity(CapacityGate),
    Compatibility(CompatibilityGate),
    Residency(ResidencyGate),
    DataIntegrity(DataIntegrityGate),
    Recovery(RecoveryGateRef),
}
}

116. No Arbitrary Script Gate

Preferred hard rule.


117. Gate Result

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum GateResult {
    Pass,
    Fail,
    Unknown,
}
}

118. Unknown ≠ Pass

Hard rule.


119. Gate Evaluation

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct GateEvaluation {
    pub gate: SafetyGate,
    pub result: GateResult,
    pub evidence: Vec<EvidenceRef>,
}
}

120. Promotion Rule

All mandatory gates Pass.


121. Hard rule.


122. Promotion Decision

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum PromotionDecision {
    Promote,
    Hold,
    Abort,
}
}

123. Hold

Insufficient evidence or temporary uncertainty.


124. Hard rule.


125. Abort Policy

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct AbortPolicy {
    pub critical_failures: Vec<AbortCondition>,
    pub max_error_budget_burn: Option<FixedPoint>,
    pub max_phase_duration: Option<Duration>,
}
}

126. Abort Conditions

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum AbortCondition {
    SecurityControlFailure,
    PrivacyViolation,
    DataIntegrityFailure,
    SloBreach,
    CapacitySaturation,
    UnexpectedDependencyFailure,
    MigrationError,
}
}

127. Hard Rule

Security/privacy/data-integrity failures cannot be overridden by a routine rollout operator.


128. Rollback Policy

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeRollbackPolicy {
    AutomaticSafe,
    ApprovalRequired,
    ForwardFixOnly,
    NotPossible,
}
}

129. Rollback Must Be Honest

Hard rule.


130. Irreversible Migration

Use:

forward fix only

131. No fake rollback promise.


132. Hard rule.


133. Rollback Preconditions

Validate:

schema compatibility
security floor
artifact validity
data integrity

134. No rollback to vulnerable/revoked release.


135. Hard rule.


136. Rollback Target

Exact known state.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct RollbackTarget {
    pub desired_state: DesiredStateId,
    pub release: Option<ReleaseId>,
    pub security_epoch: ConfigurationSecurityEpoch,
}
}

137. No "previous" without exact identity.


138. Hard rule.


139. Safe Execution

Execution uses typed operators/adapters.


140. Example actions:

deploy exact artifact
apply signed config
perform migration
rotate cert
switch routing weight

141. No arbitrary shell execution in core.


142. Hard rule.


143. Execution Capability

Short-lived.

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeExecutionCapability {
    pub change: ChangeId,
    pub scope: ChangeScope,
    pub actions: BTreeSet<ChangeExecutionAction>,
    pub expires_at: Timestamp,
}
}

144. Capability cannot outlive approved change window.


145. Hard rule.


146. Execution Action

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeExecutionAction {
    Deploy,
    ApplyConfig,
    Migrate,
    ShiftTraffic,
    RotateCredential,
    Restart,
    Rollback,
    Abort,
}
}

147. No Generic Root Action

Hard rule.


148. Change State Machine

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeExecutionState {
    Draft,
    Analyzing,
    Simulating,
    AwaitingApproval,
    Approved,
    Executing,
    Holding,
    Aborting,
    RollingBack,
    Verifying,
    Completed,
    Failed,
}
}

149. No Draft→Executing

Hard rule.


150. No Executing→Completed Without Verify

Hard rule.


151. Holding State

Useful when:

metrics ambiguous
dependency unstable
capacity uncertain

152. No forced promotion.


153. Hard rule.


154. Change Controller

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub trait ChangeController {
    fn analyze(
        &self,
        intent: &ChangeIntent,
    ) -> Result<ChangeAnalysis, ChangeDecisionError>;

    fn execute(
        &self,
        capability: ChangeExecutionCapability,
        plan: &RolloutPlan,
    ) -> Result<ChangeExecutionReceipt, ChangeDecisionError>;
}
}

155. No Hidden Side Effects In Analysis

Hard rule.


156. Change Analysis

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeAnalysis {
    pub impacts: Vec<ChangeImpact>,
    pub risk: ChangeRiskExplanation,
    pub simulations: Vec<SimulationResult>,
    pub recommended_plan: RolloutPlan,
}
}

157. Recommended Plan Is Not Authority

Hard rule.


158. Human/Policy Approval

Part 104.


159. High-risk plan requires independent approval.


160. Hard rule.


161. Automated Low-Risk Change

Possible when policy pre-approves.


162. Example:

replace one unhealthy stateless instance

163. Still verify.


164. Hard rule.


165. Change Window

Optional.


166. Maintenance window used for nonurgent risky changes.


167. Emergency incident changes can bypass scheduling only.


168. Not safety/authorization.


169. Hard rule.


170. Dependency-Aware Ordering

Rollout order respects dependencies.


171. Example:

add backward-compatible DB schema
→ deploy consumers
→ deploy producers
→ remove old field later

172. Hard rule.


173. Expand-Migrate-Contract

Preferred for schema/API changes.


174. Avoid synchronized all-at-once cutovers.


175. Hard rule.


176. Protocol Compatibility

Part 52.


177. Rollout plan verifies mixed-version compatibility.


178. No broad rollout if old/new cannot coexist.


179. Hard rule.


180. Service Dependency Ordering

If B depends on A:

change A first only if backward compatible

otherwise:

prepare B first

181. Explicit.


182. Hard rule.


183. Key Rotation Rollout

Example:

publish new key
accept old+new
switch signing/encryption
confirm adoption
revoke old

184. No instant one-sided cutover if peers need compatibility.


185. Hard rule.


186. Certificate Rotation

Overlap window.


187. Validate trust chain.


188. No expired fallback.


189. Hard rule.


190. Regional Migration

Part 103.


191. Dependency-aware sequence:

provision destination
replicate
validate
shift reads
shift writes
verify
retire source

192. Residency gates throughout.


193. Hard rule.


194. Failover Change

Part 100.


195. Requires fencing.


196. Change plan must model reverse/failback separately.


197. Hard rule.


198. Capacity Change

Part 101.


199. Scale-in impact analysis important.


200. Check:

headroom
failover reserve
quorum
queue drain

201. Hard rule.


202. Cost Optimization Change

Part 102.


203. Rightsizing cannot bypass availability/security/privacy.


204. Hard rule.


205. Security Patch Change

Part 98/99.


206. Prioritize urgency but still verify artifact/signatures.


207. Emergency patch may shorten rollout phases.


208. Cannot bypass integrity/security gates.


209. Hard rule.


210. Privacy Policy Change

High-risk.


211. Requires privacy impact gate.


212. No experiment-first rollout.


213. Hard rule.


214. Authorization Policy Change

Part 81.


215. Simulate known allowed/denied cases.


216. Deny-all/allow-all accident prevention.


217. Hard rule.


218. Tenant Policy Change

Scope tenant only.


219. No cross-tenant rollout.


220. Hard rule.


221. Federation Change

Need peer compatibility.


222. Local domain controls own rollout.


223. No assumption remote peer upgrades simultaneously.


224. Hard rule.


225. Change Decision Provenance

Every decision records why.


226. Decision Record

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeDecisionRecord {
    pub change: ChangeId,
    pub decision: ChangeDecision,
    pub evidence: Vec<EvidenceRef>,
    pub policy_version: ChangePolicyVersion,
}
}

227. Change Decision

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeDecision {
    Approve,
    Hold,
    Reject,
    Abort,
    Rollback,
}
}

228. No Unexplained Manual Override

Hard rule.


229. Override

If allowed:

reason
scope
approver
expiry

230. Cannot override hard invariant.


231. Hard rule.


232. Privacy-Preserving Operational Decision Inputs

Allowed:

service health
resource saturation
dependency state
artifact/version
policy/control status
region state

233. Forbidden baseline:

message content
contact graph
search history
feed engagement
per-user behavior

234. Hard rule.


235. User Impact Measurement

Can use aggregate service SLOs.


236. Example:

error rate
latency
connection success

237. No user-level cohort analysis required.


238. Hard rule.


239. Change Evaluation Telemetry

Aggregate by:

service
region
phase
work class

240. No stable user IDs.


241. Hard rule.


242. Client Change Validation

For app rollout:

crash rate
startup success
sync success

aggregate.


243. No behavioral engagement metrics.


244. Hard rule.


245. Change Guardrails

A guardrail is not optimization.


246. Security/privacy guardrails are mandatory.


247. Hard rule.


248. Guardrail Classes

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum GuardrailClass {
    HardInvariant,
    Security,
    Privacy,
    Reliability,
    Capacity,
    Compatibility,
    Cost,
}
}

249. Precedence

HardInvariant
> Security/Privacy
> DataIntegrity
> Reliability
> Capacity
> Cost

250. Hard rule.


251. Guardrail Violation

Immediate abort for:

hard invariant
security
privacy
data integrity

252. Hold or rollback for reliability/capacity depending severity.


253. Hard rule.


254. Change Budget

Prevent too many simultaneous changes.


255. Change Concurrency Policy

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeConcurrencyPolicy {
    pub max_changes_per_service: u8,
    pub max_changes_per_region: u8,
    pub conflict_classes: Vec<ChangeConflictClass>,
}
}

256. Avoid overlapping risky changes.


257. Hard rule.


258. Change Conflict

Examples:

DB migration + schema-dependent deploy
regional failover + capacity scale-in
key rotation + federation protocol change

259. Hard rule.


260. Change Lock

Logical scoped lock.


261. No global fleet lock unless necessary.


262. Hard rule.


263. Change Freeze

Part 104.


264. Freeze blocks routine/high-risk change.


265. Emergency policy can override scheduling.


266. Hard rule.


267. Change Dependency

Changes themselves may depend on other changes.


268. Change DAG

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeDependency {
    pub change: ChangeId,
    pub depends_on: ChangeId,
}
}

269. No cycles.


270. Hard rule.


271. Change DAG Validation

Topological order.


272. No execution if unresolved predecessor.


273. Hard rule.


274. Rollout Pause

Operator/policy can pause between phases.


275. Paused state retains exact current phase.


276. No hidden background expansion.


277. Hard rule.


278. Abort

Abort stops further rollout.


279. Does not necessarily rollback already changed assets.


280. Explicit distinction.


281. Hard rule.


282. Abort vs Rollback

Abort = stop progressing
Rollback = actively return state

283. Hard rule.


284. Partial Rollout

Must remain explicitly represented.


285. PartiallyApplied should not be reported as completed.


286. Hard rule.


287. Change Coverage State

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeCoverageState {
    NotStarted,
    Partial,
    Complete,
    RolledBack,
}
}

288. Good.


289. Post-Change Verification

Check:

desired state converged
health stable
security controls pass
privacy controls pass
no new critical drift
capacity healthy

290. Hard rule.


291. Verification Window

Need soak time for some changes.


292. Example:

15 min
1 hour
24 hours

293. Policy based.


294. No instant complete if issue may be delayed.


295. Hard rule.


296. Soak State

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum SoakState {
    NotRequired,
    Running,
    Passed,
    Failed,
}
}

297. High-risk release often needs soak.


298. Hard rule.


299. Post-Change Drift Check

Part 105.


300. Ensure actual state matches target.


301. Hard rule.


302. Post-Change Inventory Check

Part 106.


303. Ensure expected assets/dependencies exist.


304. Hard rule.


305. Post-Change Vulnerability Check

Part 98.


306. Ensure target artifact is not blocked/vulnerable.


307. Hard rule.


308. Post-Change Compliance Check

Part 95.


309. Critical controls pass.


310. Hard rule.


311. Change Execution Receipt

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeExecutionReceipt {
    pub change: ChangeId,
    pub result: ChangeExecutionResult,
    pub final_state_digest: Digest,
    pub verification_digest: Digest,
}
}

312. Result

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeExecutionResult {
    Completed,
    Aborted,
    RolledBack,
    Failed,
}
}

313. No Completed Without Verification Digest

Hard rule.


314. Change Evidence Bundle

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub struct ChangeEvidenceBundle {
    pub change: ChangeId,
    pub analysis_digest: Digest,
    pub simulation_digest: Digest,
    pub approval_digest: Digest,
    pub execution_digest: Digest,
    pub verification_digest: Digest,
}
}

315. Signed/immutable summary.


316. Good for audit/compliance.


317. Hard rule.


318. Audit Integration

Part 94.


319. Audit:

high-risk change approved
execution started
abort/rollback
completion
override

320. Not every metric sample.


321. Hard rule.


322. Compliance Integration

Part 95.


323. Controls:

change analyzed
required simulation passed
approval threshold met
rollback/forward-fix policy exists
post-change verification passed

324. Hard rule.


325. Incident Integration

Part 96.


326. Failed/high-risk change can open incident.


327. Incident may freeze further rollout.


328. Hard rule.


329. SOC Integration

Part 97.


330. Unexpected post-change security signal may abort.


331. No user behavior input.


332. Hard rule.


333. Vulnerability Integration

Part 98.


334. Security remediation changes can be prioritized.


335. Still undergo integrity/compatibility checks.


336. Hard rule.


337. Update Integration

Part 99.


338. Software rollout is one class of change.


339. Exact artifact promotion.


340. Hard rule.


341. DR Integration

Part 100.


342. Failover/failback changes use recovery gates.


343. Hard rule.


344. Capacity Integration

Part 101.


345. Capacity simulation/gates prevent overload during rollout.


346. Hard rule.


347. FinOps Integration

Part 102.


348. Cost impact can inform plan.


349. Cannot override security/privacy.


350. Hard rule.


351. Geographic Governance Integration

Part 103.


352. Region migration/placement change requires residency gate.


353. Hard rule.


354. Organizational Governance Integration

Part 104.


355. Approval/execution authority from scoped roles.


356. Hard rule.


357. Desired-State Integration

Part 105.


358. Change target becomes new signed desired state.


359. Execution reconciles toward target.


360. Hard rule.


361. Inventory Integration

Part 106.


362. Impact analysis uses canonical topology.


363. Post-change inventory confirms actual dependencies/assets.


364. Hard rule.


365. Change Decision Service

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub trait ChangeDecisionService {
    fn assess(
        &self,
        intent: &ChangeIntent,
    ) -> Result<ChangeAnalysis, ChangeDecisionError>;

    fn promotion_decision(
        &self,
        phase: &RolloutPhase,
        gates: &[GateEvaluation],
    ) -> PromotionDecision;
}
}

366. Simulation Service

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub trait ChangeSimulationService {
    fn simulate(
        &self,
        intent: &ChangeIntent,
        simulations: &[SimulationType],
    ) -> Result<Vec<SimulationResult>, ChangeDecisionError>;
}
}

367. Rollout Planner

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub trait RolloutPlanner {
    fn plan(
        &self,
        intent: &ChangeIntent,
        analysis: &ChangeAnalysis,
    ) -> Result<RolloutPlan, ChangeDecisionError>;
}
}

368. Change Executor

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub trait SafeChangeExecutor {
    fn execute_phase(
        &self,
        capability: &ChangeExecutionCapability,
        phase: &RolloutPhase,
    ) -> Result<PhaseExecutionResult, ChangeDecisionError>;
}
}

369. No General Remote Exec

Hard rule.


370. Change Error Taxonomy

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeDecisionError {
    InvalidIntent,
    ScopeViolation,
    ImpactUnknown,
    SimulationFailed,
    SimulationInconclusive,
    SafetyGateFailed,
    ApprovalMissing,
    RolloutConflict,
    RollbackUnavailable,
    ExecutionFailed,
    VerificationFailed,
    Unauthorized,
    Internal,
}
}

371. Operational Decision Privacy

Store only:

change
scope
evidence
decision

372. Not:

operator browsing behavior
user impact by identity
private message samples

373. Hard rule.


374. Decision Retention

High-risk change decisions longer.


375. Low-risk routine changes shorter.


376. No permanent raw metric archive.


377. Hard rule.


378. Decision Explainability

Every reject/hold/abort includes typed reason.


379. No opaque "AI says risky."


380. Hard rule.


381. AI Assistance

Can summarize:

impact graph
simulation findings
runbook references

382. AI is advisory only.


383. It cannot approve/execute high-risk changes.


384. Hard rule.


385. AI Inputs

Use infrastructure/change evidence only.


386. No user behavioral data.


387. Hard rule.


388. Pre-Change Checklist

Machine-checkable where possible.


389. Example:

backup verified
rollback target valid
capacity headroom sufficient
all mandatory gates evaluable

390. Hard rule.


391. Change Readiness State

#![allow(unused)]
fn main() {
pub enum ChangeReadiness {
    Ready,
    ReadyWithWarnings,
    Blocked,
    Unknown,
}
}

392. Unknown is not Ready.


393. Hard rule.


394. Change Freeze After Failure

Repeated failed changes can trigger temporary freeze.


395. Scope-limited.


396. No global freeze by default.


397. Hard rule.


398. Failure Learning

Feed:

tests
simulators
runbooks
impact rules

399. Do not feed employee performance scoring.


400. Hard rule.


401. Change Success Metrics

Safe aggregate:

success rate
rollback rate
abort rate
mean verification time

402. Aggregate by:

service
change class
risk class

403. No individual operator leaderboard.


404. Hard rule.


405. Change SLOs

Examples:

impact-analysis freshness
approval latency
rollback readiness
verification completion time

406. Security SLO

0 security/privacy hard-gate bypass
0 execution without valid capability
0 rollback to blocked artifact

407. Privacy SLO

0 user-level rollout targeting
0 private-content replay in simulation
0 behavioral metrics in promotion gates

408. Failure Modes

stale topology
simulation unavailable
partial rollout
gate telemetry outage
rollback failure

409. Stale Topology

Impact confidence reduced.


410. High-risk change may block.


411. Hard rule.


412. Simulation Unavailable

Result Inconclusive.


413. High-risk change does not automatically proceed.


414. Hard rule.


415. Partial Rollout

Hold/rollback/forward-fix per policy.


416. Do not report complete.


417. Hard rule.


418. Gate Telemetry Outage

Gate = Unknown.


419. Mandatory gate prevents promotion.


420. Hard rule.


421. Rollback Failure

Escalate to incident.


422. Freeze expansion.


423. Forward-fix only under incident-approved plan.


424. Hard rule.


425. Testing

Need change-decision testkit.


426. Test Scenarios

stateless deployment
DB migration
key rotation
regional migration
security patch

427. Intent Test

Unsupported/free-form action rejected.


428. Scope Test

Change cannot affect outside approved scope.


429. Impact Test

Critical dependency appears in impact graph.


430. Redundancy Test

Redundant path lowers blast radius correctly.


431. Unknown Test

Stale topology yields Unknown/low confidence.


432. Simulation Test

Failed simulation blocks mandatory gate.


433. Inconclusive Test

Inconclusive != Passed.


434. Canary Test

Rollout starts with intended infrastructure slice.


435. Privacy Test

No user behavior can be used as canary selector.


436. Gate Test

Unknown mandatory gate blocks promotion.


437. Abort Test

Security violation immediately stops expansion.


438. Rollback Test

Blocked old release cannot be rollback target.


439. Irreversible Migration Test

Policy correctly marks forward-fix only.


440. Partial Rollout Test

State remains Partial until reconciled.


441. Tenant Test

Tenant-scoped change cannot touch others.


442. Federation Test

Local rollout does not assume remote upgrade.


443. Region Test

Residency constraint blocks forbidden rollout.


444. Capacity Test

Insufficient headroom blocks expansion.


445. DR Test

Failover change requires fencing/recovery gate.


446. Approval Test

High-risk change requires independent roles.


447. Audit Test

Decision/evidence bundle verifies.


448. Fuzzing

Fuzz:

change intent
impact graph
simulation result
rollout plan
safety gate

449. Property Tests

Properties:

mandatory failed/unknown safety gate can never produce Promote
change execution capability can never authorize outside approved scope
rollback target below security floor can never be selected
user identity can never become a valid infrastructure rollout selector

450. Formal Verification Targets

Strong candidates:

change state machine
promotion gate semantics
rollout/abort/rollback ordering
change DAG

451. Kani Candidate

gate precedence and rollback invariants.


452. TLA+ Candidate

analyze → simulate → approve → canary → expand → verify → complete/abort/rollback.


453. Loom Candidate

concurrent gate failure + promotion decision + execution transition.


454. Performance

Impact analysis should avoid full-graph scans.


455. Use bounded graph projections.


456. Cache stable dependency summaries.


457. Hard rule.


458. Simulation Cost

Potentially expensive.


459. Run asynchronously.


460. No blocking user request path.


461. Hard rule.


462. Gate Evaluation

Fast enough for phase promotion.


463. Aggregate/precomputed metrics.


464. Hard rule.


465. Storage

Separate stores:

change intents
impact analyses
simulation results
rollout plans
gate evaluations
execution receipts
decision records

466. No user event warehouse.


467. Hard rule.


468. Partitioning

By:

service
asset
region
tenant
federation domain
change class

469. No user partition.


470. Hard rule.


471. Crate Layout

Recommended:

crates/
├── siar-change-core/
├── siar-change-impact/
├── siar-change-risk/
├── siar-change-simulation/
├── siar-rollout-planner/
├── siar-safety-gate/
├── siar-safe-executor/
├── siar-change-rollback/
├── siar-change-evidence/
├── siar-change-observability/
└── siar-change-testkit/

472. siar-change-core

Owns:

ChangeIntent
ChangeScope
ChangeKind
ChangeState
errors

473. siar-change-impact

Dependency/topology-aware impact analysis.


474. siar-change-risk

Explainable risk classification.


475. siar-change-simulation

Static/dependency/migration/capacity/policy simulation.


476. siar-rollout-planner

Canary/batch/region/broad rollout plans.


477. siar-safety-gate

Typed health/security/privacy/capacity/compatibility gates.


478. siar-safe-executor

Scoped execution actions and phase transitions.


479. siar-change-rollback

Rollback/forward-fix policy validation.


480. siar-change-evidence

Immutable decision/execution evidence bundles.


481. siar-change-observability

Aggregate change health only.


482. siar-change-testkit

impact/simulation/rollout/privacy tests.


483. Security, Privacy & Correctness Invariants

Mandatory:

1. Every production change is represented as structured intent with an exact scope, kind, target state, rationale, and verifiable preconditions; arbitrary remote commands are not first-class change primitives.
2. Impact analysis uses typed infrastructure dependencies, criticality, redundancy, regions, tenants, and federation boundaries and never requires user behavior, private content, social graphs, or communication histories.
3. Unknown or stale topology, failed simulation, and unavailable mandatory gate evidence can never be silently interpreted as safe.
4. Pre-change simulation uses synthetic, generated, sanitized, or tightly isolated technical data; raw private production traffic/content is not a baseline simulation input.
5. Rollout plans use infrastructure-based canaries and phases, never behavioral user cohorts or stable user identity as operational selectors.
6. Promotion requires every mandatory safety gate to pass; failed or unknown security, privacy, data-integrity, compatibility, residency, or recovery gates block progression.
7. Abort and rollback are distinct operations; partial rollout remains explicitly partial until reconciled, rolled back, or successfully completed.
8. Rollback can never restore a revoked, vulnerable, incompatible, privacy-weakened, or below-security-floor release/configuration merely because it was previously deployed.
9. High-risk change execution requires scoped short-lived authority and independent approvals according to Part 104 separation-of-duties rules.
10. Change completion requires post-change verification, desired-state convergence, inventory reconciliation, and required soak/health checks; execution success alone is insufficient.
11. Change telemetry, simulations, decision records, dashboards, and reports contain aggregate technical/service data only and cannot become user-behavior or employee-performance surveillance systems.
12. Change impact and execution integrate with topology, desired state, vulnerability management, updates, DR, capacity, FinOps, residency, organizational governance, audit, compliance, SOC, and incident response without creating an alternate path around security/privacy invariants.

484. Initial Production Scope

Implement first:

typed ChangeIntent/ChangeScope/ChangeKind
exact TargetStateRef
change preconditions
dependency-aware impact analysis
explainable risk classification
static/config/policy simulation
database migration dry-run support
capacity simulation
rollout plan model
infrastructure canary selection
typed safety gates
promotion/hold/abort decisions
scoped execution capabilities
abort vs rollback separation
rollback target validation
post-change convergence/inventory verification
change evidence bundle
audit/compliance integration
privacy-safe change metrics
change-decision testkit

Then add:

advanced topology simulation
fault-injection-driven pre-change validation
probabilistic impact confidence models using infrastructure-only data
formal rollout/rollback verification
cross-federation compatibility simulation
automatic safe-plan synthesis constrained by policy

485. Definition of Done

Part 107 is complete when:

  • all production changes are typed and scope-bound
  • exact target state is explicit
  • topology-aware impact analysis exists
  • unknown impact is surfaced
  • simulations are privacy-safe
  • high-risk changes require evidence/approval
  • canaries are infrastructure-based
  • mandatory gates use Pass/Fail/Unknown semantics
  • abort and rollback are separate
  • rollback below security/privacy floors is impossible
  • partial rollout remains visible
  • post-change verification includes desired-state and inventory reconciliation
  • decision provenance is immutable
  • change telemetry contains no behavioral user targeting
  • impact/simulation/rollout/rollback/privacy/fuzz/formal tests are specified

486. Final Architecture

                     CHANGE INTENT
                          │
                          ▼
                   IMPACT ANALYSIS
                          │
             ┌────────────┼────────────┐
             │            │            │
         TOPOLOGY      SECURITY      CAPACITY
             │            │            │
             └────────────┼────────────┘
                          ▼
                  PRE-CHANGE SIMULATION
                          │
                          ▼
                     ROLLOUT PLAN
                          │
                          ▼
                      APPROVAL
                          │
                          ▼
                       CANARY
                          │
                   SAFETY GATES
               ┌──────────┼──────────┐
               │          │          │
            PROMOTE      HOLD       ABORT
               │                     │
               ▼                     ▼
             EXPAND                ROLLBACK
               │
               ▼
             VERIFY
               │
               ▼
            COMPLETE

Change-safety model:

typed intent
+
dependency-aware impact
+
pre-change simulation
+
infrastructure canaries
+
mandatory safety gates
+
scoped authority
+
abort/rollback discipline
+
post-change verification

not:

push the change everywhere, watch a dashboard, and hope the error rate does not rise

487. Final Principle

A production change should be treated as a hypothesis about a complex dependency graph—not as a command to execute blindly.

The correct model is:

state the intent
+
understand dependencies
+
simulate before mutation
+
start small
+
promote only on evidence
+
abort quickly on hard failures
+
rollback only when safe
+
verify the final state
+
never use private user behavior as operational change control

This architecture gives SIAR a privacy-preserving operational decision foundation for impact analysis, rollout planning, pre-change simulation, safe execution, abort/rollback, topology-aware canaries, and evidence-backed production changes while preserving the anonymity, local-first, least-authority, and anti-surveillance guarantees established across Parts 34–106.